Well, we could pull a fast one on you here and just simply say “Not much” and move on. But we’re not going to do you like that. American President Donald Trump’s controversial decision to pull out of the Iran deal brokered by his predecessor in 2015 is going to cause a lot of speculation, so let’s take a look at what has really happened here.
Back in 2015, then Secretary of State John Kerry (also the man who actually lost an election to George W. Bush to grant him a second term as one of the most unpopular Presidents in history) and President Barack Obama were major players in an international agreement with Tehran. The terms were simple enough in reality. Tons of money that was frozen was given back to the Iranians and all the crippling sanctions were lifted. In return, Iran agreed to put the brakes on its nuclear weapons program (you know, the one they insist to this day never existed). There were going to be inspections albeit on Iran’s terms, a la Iraq in the 1990s. Of course, those politically affiliated with Obama and Kerry heralded it as an unbelievable moment for peace. Those that politically opposed them saw it as making a deal with an entity that 100% could not be trusted.
The truth is the original Iran deal was nothing but a political ploy, and it has worked just as Barack Obama intended. John Kerry nor Obama are stupid (well, maybe John Kerry, but anyway); they know good and well that Iran cannot be trusted to hold up its end of the bargain. Iran accepted the deal with open arms and probably enriched some uranium to celebrate their success. In their own country, they probably thought it was the greatest scheme of all time, tricking the Americans into this agreement. In reality, they were pawns all along. Obama and Kerry knew it was a useless agreement, but now, they are getting to complete their political chess game with the American public. As Donald Trump declares the useless and pointless agreement null and void, Obama and Kerry are outraged at this war mongering. How could he do this?
The truth is, folks, that what this really means is absolutely nothing changed. Iran never actually stopped what they were doing, and they had no intentions to do so. What did stop was any pressure from the outside. Now, the Iranian economy may suffer some repercussions from this, but for the rest of the world, the threat of Iranians with nuclear weapons is no more or less than it was yesterday. And no deal brokered that hinges on the Iranians doing what they say is likely to ever change that.
So, if you slept good last night with the threat of a nuclear-armed Iran off your mind, nothing has changed, except it turns out you shouldn’t have slept last night either.